penny wrote:It is difficult to prevent something from going wrong in a centuries old plan. The MA can't possible micro manage a centuries old plan without making mistakes.
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To be sure, they made a strategic error when they prematurely unveiled their abilities and tech and attacked the MBS with Oyster Bay. But that was not their fault. It was plot driven.
Brigade XO wrote:Alpha's make mistakes. They misjudge things. They have demonstrated they can jump the gun (use Oyster Bay to try & cripple Manticore & Grayson but end up creating the GA) and exposing the existence if not the tech of their most advanced weapons.
penny wrote:Those were abstract mistakes, and, as far as the MA were concerned considering the situation they were in, it was more like "six of one, half dozen of the other." Or "damned if we do damned if we don't." Plus, it was plot driven. I am sure the author knew that if the MA saved the opening attack until they were ready, it would be the Detweilerverse. The author likes the HV.
They certainly thought they could micro manage a centuries old plan without making mistakes, even believing that anything unexpected could be corrected.
That specifically includes Oyster Bay, which was driven by their attempting to correct for their plan going horrible wrong. Manticore was about to conquer Haven (which was not their chosen opponent for the League) and was now much too close to Mesa, upsetting the timing of Houdini.
What exactly is an "abstract mistake", except another thing that the plan could not handle?
If the people of the Onion were so smart six hundred years ago, why didn't they know that "It is difficult to prevent something from going wrong in a centuries old plan. The MA can't possible micro manage a centuries old plan without making mistakes."? If they got even smarter as the years went on, then why didn't they revise the plan to something more achievable?
PS: You could say that everything that went wrong with their plan was "plot driven"; but they still thought that they could make the plan work, no matter what went wrong.