penny wrote:I understand what you are saying and yield to its logic. But for sake of wanting to have an enemy with some real teeth, I hope you are wrong. At any rate, how can you not expect Darius to be immensely more powerful. They were withholding tech. For who? And there is the missing LDs, and the missing Sharks and the missing Ghosts and the missing ... And it certainly makes strategic sense not to unveil any further tech before its time.
Thinksmarkedly wrote:There's a difference between what I may wish would happen to create a very climatic battle to end the series and what I think will happen based on all the clues in the text, the rules of the HV, and the hints that RFC has dropped. Those two don't align with a huge battle the likes of which you're proposing.
Pardon my boldness.With total stealth technology, the rules of the HV have changed. Drastically changed. Fatally changed. Incomprehensibly changed.
Thinksmarkedly wrote:It seems like Darius will be powerful... but not in the military brute-force sense. In fact, none of the important battles in the HV books have been won by brute force. There were battles we've been told that were that: Third Yeltsin and the liberation of San Martin. But the ones we've followed, and in particular Honor's, have been won by strategy and intelligence. Just compare Third and Fourth Yieltsin, for example. Even in the Battle of Manticore, she won by being a better strategist.
Over the years I've grown fond of my forum family, and there's little wonder I'd like all of you to be ready before attacking Darius. As of now, you are not ready, and I am trying to save you from yourselves.
Darius' brute force comes in the form of a devastating game changing
[(((force-multiplier)))]Umm ... when Honor attacked Sol, that was brute force. Honor rolled pods from Manticore to Sol. And when she hypered in-system she gave the further order for her pods, to roll pods.
The attack on Galton was also brute force.
The Second battle of Manticore was also brute force.
Apollo = brute forceStealth is to the MA as Apollo is to brute force.
Don't you see?
Thinksmarkedly wrote:Take also the three space battles in Uncompromising Honor. Of those, two were won by being smarter and knowing how to use one's technology (which granted was superior): the Battle of Hypatia and the Battle of the Ajay-Prime Warp Bridge. In comparison, the Battle of Sol barely happened: Honor won by showing up but even then she had to show what she could do to the SLN and yet kill barely no one.
The one battle we've got a good description of and that Honor was present that stands out from this crowd is the Battle of Galton. The GF won by overwhelming superiority of numbers and technology.
See above.
Darius will win by overwhelming superiority in the tech used to support the type of war being fought. Akin to 'you can't bring a knife to a gun fight'.
However, do note that Grayson threw all building estimates out the window. And because of Darius' unusual social dynamics and classified economy, you should allow for the fact that Darius' build rates might vastly outperform and throw - yet again, similarly - even Grayson's build rates out the window.
Thinksmarkedly wrote:I could allow for that and yes, I should allow for that possibility occurring in the books. But the clues and rules appear to put severe limits on that. Grayson managed to grow that quickly because it had all of Manticore's expertise, who had already perfected the art of building those ships. The GSN officers and their enlisteds were being trained by the RMN. Darius has none of those advantages and moreover they are putting constraints on themselves by building a completely new type of ship that no one has built or operated before, and by selecting their officers from a very small pool of people too (the alphas). More on the people in the next reply.
The MAN has all of the SLN's expertise AND examples of their tech. And Technodyne's. The MAN also had access to the SLN's technically superior civilian sector.
Stop spreading that misnomer! The MAN is
not choosing from a very small pool of people! I will tackle tlb's post shortly. But no! That post leads to using and applying statistics incorrectly. It is a federal offense as far as digesting statistics go.
Thinksmarkedly wrote:So even though what you say is possible, within the realm of possibility, it doesn't seem likely that it will happen.
"Likely" and the Mesan Alignment just don't seem to be synonymous. It leaves a bad taste in my mouth. It is an acquired taste I suppose. Personally I don't care for it.
Thinksmarkedly wrote:Instead, I don't think we're going to get a major battle at all. I think we're going to get several smaller but well-written ones, won by having the best strategy and tactics, the best use of one's assets. And in between battles, we'll see a lot of politics; both of which is David's forte. I expect that the espionage aspect will tone down now that Eric is no longer with us, though.
Actually, I can see the logic in this. And you may be right. I'd be the first to admit that you are if you are. But it would be boring. And I have to point out the caution sign that says "An entity centuries in the making ain't gonna just lay down. It just ain't gonna.
It just ain't.About this idea of Darius not being a militarized system. That could simply mean that the entire population is never exposed to that side of Darius. Sheltered from the storms of reality, if you will. Because the best way to ensure complete and utter indoctrination is for the indoctrinated to actually believe certain truths. Take for instance, O'Hanrahan. She believes in her Alignment because she is only exposed to a certain part of it. Out of sight, out of mind.
It could also mean that the planet itself is free from the militaristic matters of rebellion, social unrest, rioting, looting, coups, terrorist actions ...
Thinksmarkedly wrote:It literally can't be "the entire population" because someone has to be working on it, unless Darius has cracked the ability to just build things with AI, but that goes counter to the rules that RFC established for the Honorverse. No Von Neumann probes multiplying and building ships out of a belt of asteroids.
Force multiplier! Guys! The entirety of Leonard Detweiler's vision is based, at least in part, to
Artificial Intelligence. And automation. If you have bred automatons. Then you have automation.
YOU MUST KNOW YOUR ENEMY
Thinksmarkedly wrote:No, you need people and lots of it to fuel a military. To have one like you're proposing, it would need to be massive too, especially if you consider all the subcontrators and service providers who work with the military-industrial complex.
So? The same for any superpower. But it seems to me that you are playing to the MA's strengths. They grow people in vats. People. They even have different lines coming off the assembly lines. They tailor the product to their own specifications. They grow people in the assembly plants and their product comes with options. You think that is a liability? And all of you accuse
RFC of being slack in economics???
Thinksmarkedly wrote:The RMN was 12 million people in 1912 and they had hundreds of capital ships and dozens of forts to man. Now, someone is going to point out that the Oyster Bay attack killed a tiny fraction of the overall population of the MBS and yet put a crimp in its war-fighting capability, so pre-empting that argument, I'll say two things: first, "single point of failure" - that if the logistics weren't that redundant, attacking the vulnerable spots can have an outsized effect. Second, that when it comes to economics, it isn't RFC's forte... so you can't expect the economics to apply to Darius either. It could go any way he wants.
There you go again accusing the author of your own foibles.
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The artist formerly known as cthia.
Now I can talk in the third person.