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OK KZT: What's wrong with AAC?

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Re: OK KZT: What's wrong with AAC?
Post by tlb   » Tue Apr 12, 2022 5:03 pm

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cthia wrote:I recall some CO in some scene firing a demonstration launch of Apollo missiles against the SLN before they got the memo that the MBS had been attacked and the Admiralty was recalling all Apollo pods!

Also, I disagree about Henke's parole status disqualifying her for defending the MBS. Remember, the MBS was worried about an attack from the SL. And they had had an attack from an entity in the shadows.

The conditions of Henke's parole prevented her from participating in any active operations against the Havenites. Defending her home system squashes that agreement.

Crandall was hit with Apollo missiles, this was after the Battle of Manticore and before the Yawata Strike. It was after the Yawata Strike that the Apollo pods were withdrawn from Talbott. The only threat from the SLN before Crandall was in the Talbott Quadrant; it was only after that when the Mandarins decided that Manticore needed to be quashed.

I am not sure what you mean by saying "Defending her home system squashes that agreement", since that would not be true if the attack was from Haven. Fortunately Michelle Henke was at Talbott during the Battle of Manticore, which was the last fight between the two sides. With the war between Haven and Manticore over, Micheele could be assigned anywhere.
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Re: OK KZT: What's wrong with AAC?
Post by Theemile   » Tue Apr 12, 2022 5:16 pm

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ThinksMarkedly wrote:
In any case, Tenth Fleet at this time was composed of 14 BCs, 12 CAs, and some even lighter elements. Those battlecruisers were all Nike-class, so while they sported Keyholes, those were Mark 1 and the Nike can only fire Mark 16 DDMs, not Mk23 MDMs. Those ships could contribute to missile defence, but not to offensive capabilities of Home Fleet against the RHN.


10th fleet had 16 Nikes, 4 of which were forward deployed (Montana and Talbott).

And I disagree, the Nikes could have thickened the throw weight of each Home Fleet salvo by about 5% - those KHIs nearly gave a Nike the fire control capability of a first war Medusa. Every SD in Home fleet was carrying as many flatpacks as they could - Even Sphinx class an carry >400 externally, a Nike can carry 80 with no loss in acceleration, losing 100gs would probably allow her to carry 40 more.

Anyway, the podlayers were using their spare firecontol to fire the extra pods carried externally on the 48 old SDs. With each Nike controlling ~300 missiles in each salvo, or around 5-6000 additional missiles per salvo, if all 16 ships were present. The existent 24 BC(p)s with home fleet added ~8-9,000 additional missiles per salvo, so their addition was nothing to sneeze at.

No one would have turned away Blaine's 12 old Medusas, yet Henke's Nikes had roughly the same amount of fire control in their 16 hulls, as Blaine's 12. The Nikes just didn't have Mk23s in their magazines - which wouldn't have mattered since Home Fleet died with almost full magazines.

It probably would not have mattered much in the end except those 16 ships would have died with home fleet, but I bet Tourville would also have walked away with at least 2 fewer effective squadrons.
******
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Re: OK KZT: What's wrong with AAC?
Post by ThinksMarkedly   » Tue Apr 12, 2022 5:44 pm

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Theemile wrote:And I disagree, the Nikes could have thickened the throw weight of each Home Fleet salvo by about 5% - those KHIs nearly gave a Nike the fire control capability of a first war Medusa. Every SD in Home fleet was carrying as many flatpacks as they could - Even Sphinx class an carry >400 externally, a Nike can carry 80 with no loss in acceleration, losing 100gs would probably allow her to carry 40 more.


The Keyholes could have contributed fire control, but the Nikes couldn't meaningfully have contributed missiles. Was Home Fleet short in fire control links? The RMN hadn't been designing fire-control support "just enough" for a decade already.

Anyway, the podlayers were using their spare firecontol to fire the extra pods carried externally on the 48 old SDs. With each Nike controlling ~300 missiles in each salvo, or around 5-6000 additional missiles per salvo, if all 16 ships were present. The existent 24 BC(p)s with home fleet added ~8-9,000 additional missiles per salvo, so their addition was nothing to sneeze at.


Out of how many total?

And only for the alpha launch. Once they flush their external racks, they can't contribute missiles.

My point isn't that they could contribute nothing. It's that their contribution would be too small to count. The RMN had a lot of other battlecruisers at this point to add to Home Fleet if it needed. And if it had foreseen the danger, it wouldn't have added more battlecruisers; it would have moved Eighth Fleet.
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Re: OK KZT: What's wrong with AAC?
Post by Jonathan_S   » Tue Apr 12, 2022 5:57 pm

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cthia wrote:I recall some CO in some scene firing a demonstration launch of Apollo missiles against the SLN before they got the memo that the MBS had been attacked and the Admiralty was recalling all Apollo pods!
That'd be the battle of Spindle. Which happened in Feb 1922 PD; so 6-7 months after the Battle of Manticore. (But a week or two before Oyster Bay)

And Michelle wasn't scheduled to get her first Apollo units "an entire battle squadron of Apollo-capable Imperators" (so 6 ships) until 3 weeks after Honor left to deliver the diplomatic note to Haven -- and she still hadn't received them when Crandall and her SDs showed up.

Michelle had gotten the Apollo pods maybe a month before Crandall showed up, but as yet had nothing with Keyhole II. That's why that battle was the first time we saw Apollo used in non-FTL mode -- remember, she had her heavy cruisers (and the old HMS Hercules), not even her battlecruisers, launch that Apollo strike against Crandle's fleet!.

The only other time Michelle went up against the Sollies was punching out Byng's flagship at New Tuscany -- and for that she used pods of (normal) Mk23s limpeted to the side of her Nike-class BC(L)s. (And those definitely weren't Apollo because she half-whimsically said "Where is Apollo when you need it?")


cthia wrote:Also, I disagree about Henke's parole status disqualifying her for defending the MBS. Remember, the MBS was worried about an attack from the SL. And they had had an attack from an entity in the shadows.

The conditions of Henke's parole prevented her from participating in any active operations against the Havenites. Defending her home system squashes that agreement.

"the terms of her parole precluded her from serving against the Republic" it doesn't say anything about offensive or active operations - it says serving against the Republic. If the Republic attack the MBS Michelle can't come back to fight them -- not without violating her parole and breaking her honor. (Mind you, she could have turned over command of her forces to her senior subordinate and arranged to be left behind at Spindle, the Lynx forts, or even the Junction forts).

Still, since the biggest thing she had during the BoM (aside from the 1 obsolete Samothrace class SD) was BC(L)s (and maybe some BC(P)s) - and since most of her forces were at Spindle or patrolling the Talbott sector and couldn't be recalled for days anyway - that's all moot. She didn't have enough force to make a difference, and they couldn't have showed up in time even if she had. The only forces that might have been able to respond would have been those covering the Lynx terminus (even those forces in the Lynx system itself, a few LY away from the uninhabitable system containing the terminus, couldn't have gotten back in time to matter)
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Re: OK KZT: What's wrong with AAC?
Post by Jonathan_S   » Tue Apr 12, 2022 6:03 pm

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ThinksMarkedly wrote:
The Keyholes could have contributed fire control, but the Nikes couldn't meaningfully have contributed missiles. Was Home Fleet short in fire control links? The RMN hadn't been designing fire-control support "just enough" for a decade already.

Remember that the legacy SDs of Home Fleet had gotten shoals of Mk23 flat-pack pods to tractor themselves to the SDs' hulls before heading out to meet the Republic's forces. Those external pods were definitely fire control limited because a) those SDs predated to pod revolution and there was only so much extra fire control they'd have gotten via various refits, and b) they could have shed all those pods nearly instantly -- much faster than an SD(P) could have rolled them -- simply by ordering them to turn off their onboard tractors.

So yes, if 16 Nikes could have been recalled to join home fleet before the BoM commences then their extra fire control could have utilized some of those external pods (even ignoring whatever external pods of Mk23s they themselves might have picked up)
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Re: OK KZT: What's wrong with AAC?
Post by kzt   » Tue Apr 12, 2022 6:44 pm

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ThinksMarkedly wrote:
And only for the alpha launch. Once they flush their external racks, they can't contribute missiles.

Well, they contribute at a slower rate once they have used all their external pods. But in the actual event, they never got to their internal pods.

IIRC, they carry externally an absurd number of pods. Like thousands, stacked layers deep over the entire surface of the ship. You need to drop some for combat, and you want to have dropped all of them before taking incoming fire. You don't have to dump them all at once, you can separate them into salvos and drop them under acceleration at appropriate intervals.

It's unclear what the actual salvo capacity of a BC(P) is. It should be at least 256 missiles per salvo (quad pattern Mk16s), and it might be more. 16 pods per 12 seconds x 8 minutes gets you 640 pods per ship. And if so you should not try to combine in giant salvos, you should all fire as fast as you can. This results in saturation throughout the depth of the defense zone.

And if you can't likely survive counterfire you should add a whole lot of 'to whom it may concern' Mk23s to each pattern.
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Re: OK KZT: What's wrong with AAC?
Post by cthia   » Tue Apr 12, 2022 7:44 pm

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ThinksMarkedly wrote:
cthia wrote:I recall some CO in some scene firing a demonstration launch of Apollo missiles against the SLN before they got the memo that the MBS had been attacked and the Admiralty was recalling all Apollo pods!


I don't think that happened just quite the way you remember it. I think you're mixing two different scenes.

There was the "Exclamation Mark" that Terekhov made in front of Crandall's surviving forces, with his second 12,000-missile Apollo launch during the Battle of Spindle. That was a show of force, showing that he had missiles to spare to destroy every single SD in the fleet. And he probably did, since the first salvo took 23 out of the 70. He only needed two more salvos of that size to obliterate Crandall's fleet. And he didn't even need them to be that big, since the first one would have proven they could allocate fewer missiles per target.

But this was before the MBS was attacked. The Battle of Spindle occurred in the beginning of February 1922, while the Yawata Strike happened late the same month.

There was another scene where a Manty CO fired missiles at a SLN targets during Case Lacoön II, then had those waste themselves on the wedges of the SLN ships. That was the Zunker Incident, but the missiles Capt./Commodore Ivanov fired were Mark 16 DDMs, not Apollos. His biggest ship was a Saganami-C heavy cruiser.

As far as I can remember, the RMN fired Apollos at the SLN two or three times only: for sure, during the Battle of Spindle (before Oyster Bay) and during the Battle of Beowulf; plus likely Honor did again during the Battle of Sol. But both Beowulf and Sol happened in January 1923, 11 months after Oyster Bay, so it's reasonable to assume Beowulf, New Berlin, and Bolthole had begun production of Apollo missiles.

Also, I disagree about Henke's parole status disqualifying her for defending the MBS. Remember, the MBS was worried about an attack from the SL. And they had had an attack from an entity in the shadows.

The conditions of Henke's parole prevented her from participating in any active operations against the Havenites. Defending her home system squashes that agreement.


Not sure it does. You can't say "I'll respect the terms of the parole until they become inconvenient." But regardless, it wouldn't be necessary to violate it. If the RMN needed her ships, she could send those home or take them home herself, but not participate in the engagement against the RHN. And if the RMN was worried about attacks from the SL, then Henke's best place was exactly where she was: in the Talbott Quadrant. That's where the known point of contact with the SLN existed. The strategy meeting related above makes it quite clear there was nothing the SLN could throw at the Manticore system itself in less than 6 months.

In any case, Tenth Fleet at this time was composed of 14 BCs, 12 CAs, and some even lighter elements. Those battlecruisers were all Nike-class, so while they sported Keyholes, those were Mark 1 and the Nike can only fire Mark 16 DDMs, not Mk23 MDMs. Those ships could contribute to missile defence, but not to offensive capabilities of Home Fleet against the RHN.

Now that you mention it, it was before the attack, but the timeline moves so slowly ... and six months before reckoning isn't exactly an eternity to be wasting 12,000 missile Apollo salvos as demonstration launches.

You filthy rich MBS! I bet you wish you had that demonstration salvo worth of Apollo missiles back!

But the significant part of my post is that, iinm, the Admiraly had expressed plans for recalling Apollo pods that were already allocated, and those enroute in colliers. Which means there had to be ships in the wild that were using them, for them to be recalled.

If there were Keyhole II capable ships in the wild, it begs a question. If a significant number of Keyhole II capable ships returned, and considering the limited number of pods, how would they be allocated? Would the pods be spread even thinner between additional Apollo capable fleets, or would Eighth Fleet still have commandeered them all?

It becomes an unusual aspect of defeat in detail.

Son, your mother says I have to hang you. Personally I don't think this is a capital offense. But if I don't hang you, she's gonna hang me and frankly, I'm not the one in trouble. —cthia's father. Incident in ? Axiom of Common Sense
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Re: OK KZT: What's wrong with AAC?
Post by tlb   » Tue Apr 12, 2022 9:36 pm

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cthia wrote:But the significant part of my post is that, iinm, the Admiraly had expressed plans for recalling Apollo pods that were already allocated, and those enroute in colliers. Which means there had to be ships in the wild that were using them, for them to be recalled.

If there were Keyhole II capable ships in the wild, it begs a question. If a significant number of Keyhole II capable ships returned, and considering the limited number of pods, how would they be allocated? Would the pods be spread even thinner between additional Apollo capable fleets, or would Eighth Fleet still have commandeered them all?

It becomes an unusual aspect of defeat in detail.

Isn't Eighth Fleet the only Home Fleet standing after the Battle of Manticore. I believe that the forces returned from the Lynx terminal (after the forts were completed) could have stood guard when Honor took Eighth Fleet and her private ship to Haven's capitol to bargain.

However after the Yawata Strike and the truth is discovered about the Malign, then the Alliance was formed and the only enemy to be faced was the SLN. They could be defeated By Mark-16 missiles.
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Re: OK KZT: What's wrong with AAC?
Post by ThinksMarkedly   » Tue Apr 12, 2022 10:05 pm

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Jonathan_S wrote:Remember that the legacy SDs of Home Fleet had gotten shoals of Mk23 flat-pack pods to tractor themselves to the SDs' hulls before heading out to meet the Republic's forces. Those external pods were definitely fire control limited because a) those SDs predated to pod revolution and there was only so much extra fire control they'd have gotten via various refits, and b) they could have shed all those pods nearly instantly -- much faster than an SD(P) could have rolled them -- simply by ordering them to turn off their onboard tractors.

So yes, if 16 Nikes could have been recalled to join home fleet before the BoM commences then their extra fire control could have utilized some of those external pods (even ignoring whatever external pods of Mk23s they themselves might have picked up)


Indeed half of Home Fleet would have limited fire control slots and wouldn't have been able to control the number of missiles they could flush from external racks. But the other half of that fleet was composed of Medusas, as well as HMS Invictus herself, plus a component of Minotaur-class CLACs that were also modern. Those had fire control slots to spare.

I can't believe that 14 or 16 Nikes more would make a difference. We focus on the wall of battle, but Home Fleet also had escort units of their own.

Now, it's entirely possible that those ships were part of Home Fleet and were part of the calculation to achieve 100% + redundancy for minor failures of the Alpha launch and that they were peeled off without replacement. That might have left the Alpha launch at slightly below 100%, in that case.

But I maintain that this is not Honor's "significantly understrength" statement and compensating 16 BC(L) with Eight Fleet is overkill.
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Re: OK KZT: What's wrong with AAC?
Post by ThinksMarkedly   » Tue Apr 12, 2022 10:19 pm

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kzt wrote:Well, they contribute at a slower rate once they have used all their external pods. But in the actual event, they never got to their internal pods.


No, they don't contribute at all because the fight would still be above the powered range of a DDM. Even D'Orville wouldn't have waited to get to 29 million km to fire the second salvo, because he'd know that RMN hardware was better than RHN at a distance. So firing while the range is higher benefited him.

They might think to use a ballistic stage between the two powered ones. In that case, the DDMs would have to cover the difference between 29.2 and (say) 60 million km at the first stage's final velocity of 0.27c. That's 6 minutes and 22 seconds. How many internal launcher salvos from the SDs is that? Meanwhile, those BCs would be taking under fire from the enemy's SD for the entirety of the ballistic flight.

IIRC, they carry externally an absurd number of pods. Like thousands, stacked layers deep over the entire surface of the ship. You need to drop some for combat, and you want to have dropped all of them before taking incoming fire. You don't have to dump them all at once, you can separate them into salvos and drop them under acceleration at appropriate intervals.


But so do SDs and CLACs, and those have an even larger surface area and a much more powerful wedge. I again don't think 14 or 16 BC(L)s would make that much of a difference compared to what Home Fleet already had.

It's unclear what the actual salvo capacity of a BC(P) is. It should be at least 256 missiles per salvo (quad pattern Mk16s), and it might be more. 16 pods per 12 seconds x 8 minutes gets you 640 pods per ship. And if so you should not try to combine in giant salvos, you should all fire as fast as you can. This results in saturation throughout the depth of the defense zone.

And if you can't likely survive counterfire you should add a whole lot of 'to whom it may concern' Mk23s to each pattern.


Tenth Fleet's BCs were Nike-class BC(L)s, not Agamemnon-class BC(P)s. I'd venture that an Agamemnon is far more useful for supporting a wall of battle than a Nike, because those carry pods of Mk23. Nikes are more useful for independent action, anywhere from individual to squadron-strength operations, instead.

The ship that Henke was aboard of that got shot under her and led to her capture was an Agamemnon-class: HMS Ajax.
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