gcomeau wrote:While I don't particularly like the super delegate thing people keep blowing it up into more than it is.
In theory can they exert their influence to overturn a popular vote outcome at the end of a primary if the vote is close enough that they can make up the difference for the losing candidate? Sure.
Has that ever happened? No.
Will that ever happen? No. (Barring extraordinary circumstances in which said voters would basically thank them for doing it, like someone wins the pledged count then between then and the convention gets revealed to be a puppy torturing Hitler clone from an evil scientists lab or something )
And that is true for one simply reason, arbitrarily over-ruling the primary voters would be party suicide. Best case scenario is you only obliterate your chances for one election cycle.... more likely you destroy your support base for years and years to come.
Same thing happened in 2008. Everyone was wringing their hands over Hillary racking up super delegates early on.... then Obama won the pledged delegate race. What happened? All the super delegates required to affirm that outcome promptly switched sides and lined up behind the winner. Because anything else is cutting their own throats with the voters, which is one thing they won't do.
Same thing will happen this year. Supers can talk all they want at this point about who they say they will support, but no matter what they say they are UNpledged until the convention. Nobody "has" them. If Hillary wins the pledged count all those supers saying they'll support her will stick with it. If she loses the pledged count there'll be a mass migration to Sanders.
What's the rationale for having the super-delegates in the first place, though?