namelessfly wrote:I have always thought that Germanynand Japan would have won the war if Hitler had accepted Spain's demand for $1 billion to become active in the war.
It would have made a big dent, but win just because of that? Extremely unlikely.
More importantly however, Spain KNEW that Germany had no ability to pay anything like that, Germany was halfway to bankruptcy even in 1939, and without plundering conquered territories, it would have gone bankrupt somewhere 1940-1942.
Also, Spain at the time was utterly dependent on importing food from USA. Germany simply did not have the excess food production to give the guarantee Spain wanted.
namelessfly wrote:and probably surrendered French Fleets
Not a chance. The French were extremely miffed when the Brits tried to destroy remaining parts of the French fleet, and if you look at what happened, French commanders consistently scuttled their ships before letting them fall into the hands of the Germans.
Even historically(Operation Lila, when Hitler TRIED to take Vichy ships at Toulon 1942), with a commander accepting Vichy as his legal government, he was still willing to have the sailors fight in defense of the port and then scuttle all ships.
3 battleships, 7 cruisers, 15 destroyers and several dozen other ships were scuttled.
Despite the German sneak attack (after stating that the port would be left in Vichy hands, according to Raeder´s recommendation) against the port, they still only managed to capture 3 disarmed destroyers.
namelessfly wrote:Control of the Med would have compromised British ability to support their forces in the Indian Ocean and Pacific and import troops and supplies from Australia, NZ and India.
Not nearly as much as you believe. Near zero actual shipping to the Asian theatre went through the Mediterranean, because it was simply far too dangerous due to the landbased Italian airforces.
And at least at some points, even the depleted Italian navy units of midwar, could be very dangerous. (Italian torpedo boats was for example considered among the worlds most dangerous)
namelessfly wrote:With control of the Mediterranean, Germany could have employed thebFrenchnand Italian fleet to attack Russia through the Black sea.
Eh, say WHAT?
Sorry, complete pipedream. Just getting into or out of the Black sea during the war was an extremely prickly business for anyone, because Turkey was very serious about keeping that specific strait under FIRM control.
And they learned their lesson in WWI, Turkey was very unlikely to join the axis.
You also forget that UK would still hold the Suez and be able to move ships into and out of the Med that way.
And the only realistic way for UK to loose that would be by radically rewriting strategy for both UK, Italy and Germany.