President Bush's invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq were experiments to modify Islamic cultures by exporting democracy. Less obvious but more important were the non violent tactics to reform Pakistan. Ironically with Musharif's consent and cooperation. One suspects that Bush persuaded Musharif to relinquish his dictatorial power by threatening to nuke him into the stone age.
Iraq and Afghanistan have been unsuccessful. Bush made mistakes but Obama seems to have failed intentionally. It seems obvious that tyranny is the natural order for Islamic countries. Obama's carefree use of drones for targeted assassinations combined with his grandstanding on the Osama Bin Laden execution alienated the Pakistani people and discredited the moderate, Democratically elected government. Obama's FUBAR of supporting the Arab Spring destroyed all remaining relationships with once "moderate" Arab regimes that had been US allies.
Given this deterioration of the political situation and the fact that the US is becoming unwilling to expend blood and treasure to "liberate" peoples who really don't cherish liberty, neo-isolationism is the only logical strategy. It is hoped that a policy of strict non-interventionism will effectively avoid provocation of future terrorist attacks such as 9-11. Bin Laden stated that 9-11 was retribution for the US war to expel Iraq from Kuwait and sanctions on Iraq. The fact that some of the 9-11 terrorists were Kuwaitis and Saudis suggests that those people did not want US protection. Fine, the US will learn from that. If another Saddam Hussien wants to invade his neighbors, the US will not intervene even if there is genocide.
As you may recall, 9-11 involved weapons with near nuclear effects and only miraculously failed to inflict near nuclear casualties. The initial estimates of the death toll based on normal occupancy of the twin towers was 50,000 people which is comparable to the REAL as opposed to inflated fatalities of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. One aspect of neoisolationist policies is that if a similar attack occurs in spite of US effort to avoid provoking conflict with foreign intervention, the US response will not be to "liberate" the peoples who attacked us. Attempts to kill the perpetrators would be made of course. However; the peoples who sheltered the terrorists and celebrated the attacks (the sight of the twin towers collapsing inspired Muslims all over the world to celebrate. Only Arafat was smart enough to send out his goons to break up the street celebrations and beg Bush to not kill him) will also be held accountable. Iraq and Afghanistan have taught the US that conquest even in an effort to liberate, is expensive. Conquest is also futile. To quote Captain Roderick Blain from the Mote in Gods Eye, "conquest is expensive but extermination is cheap.". If Muslims are stupid enough to inflict mass causalities n the US ever again, the response of an isolationist President will be to retaliate with overwhelming, intentionally deadly force. As an example, if the Egyptians were to sponsor such a terrorist attack, the US would send in a B-2 to destroy the Aswan dam with an earth penetrator. The immediate casualties would be limited, but the resulting flood would destroy most of Cairo. The loss of irrigation water would of course cause massive famine. Afghanistan, Iraq along with most Muslim countries are highly dependent on less centralized irrigation systems. Destroying them would not be quite so easy, but certainly easier than invading the guilty countries and trying to impose order in a futile attempt to civilize them.
So bitch about Bush all you want because you are going to dislike the alternative even more.
Eyal wrote:I was thinking (among other examples) of your argument in the "how America is viewed" thread thatIf I had been POTUS I would have responded to 9-11 by launching an overwhelming strike against Pakistan's nuclear forces and military then aided India in destroying the County. While I would have attempted to arrest or kill Bin Laden, I would have been per suing a military strategy of retribution rather than nation building in Afghanistan. I would have destroyed the irrigation and transportation infrastructure that allows the country to feed itself and export opium. I would have done this with the intention of killing a large percentage of the population to ensure that Afghanistan never sponsored an attack on the US ever again.namelessfly wrote:I am not proposing that the US commit mass murder.
I am simply suggesting that the US should simply refuse to intervene in the next genocide.